Robber Generations II – The Case of Fisheries

Day started early, around 0745, when I got up to the 4th floor to have breakfast and joined Tim, after Sidney and Dan Pauly joined in. Very pleasant view over the river and with nests of storks adorning several high-points in different sections of the town; they are now protect, as there are very few, and an even more uncommon variant is the black stork, very rarely seen.

After breakfast we headed to the university campus, where Sidney talked about Fish (never heard this topic by him before)!  His notes are also transcribed below.

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A talk at the University of Algarve, Portugal, 29 January 2010

Sidney Holt

Robber generations 2: Fishes and Fishing

I am devoted to a web-site named “Dr Mardy’s Quotes of the Week”.  Dr Mardy helps me fill the 45-minute vacuum of a scheduled talk.

I ended my talk yesterday, about whaling, with one from Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s second Inaugural Address, in 1937:

“We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals; we know now that it is bad economics.”

I followed that by saying that my theme in both talks is that:

“…the Industrial Revolution and the Capitalist economy have given living generations the power and the incentive to deprive future generations of access to non-renewable and renewable resources, and to saddle them with enormous debts”. Nothing new in that. But in limiting my talks to my own experience I hope I might find some things to say, which if not brand new or original, are fresh to at least some of you.

Today I revolve around two quotations from my first boss and mentor, Mr Michael Graham. Graham was England’s charismatic Director of Fisheries Research in the years following the end of the Second World War. In 1949 he had written, in a remarkable little book, a treasure  –“The Fish Gate” – what he called The Great Law of Fishing:

“Fisheries that are unlimited become unprofitable.” Graham pioneered, pre-war, the scientific theory of fishing.

Last year the World Bank published another little book – not nearly so much fun to read as Graham’s masterpiece – entitled “Sunken Billions”. It reported a study by experts from the Bank, FAO and the University of Reykjavik of the state of sea fisheries globally.  Their conclusions are stark. The cost of taking the present annual world catch of about 80 million tonnes is five billion dollars more than its market value; the difference is made up by explicit and hidden subsidies of various kinds. But if the total size of the fishing fleets was reduced by about one half, and over-fished stocks given a chance to recover, in a few years the total catch would be about the same as now, and worth 50-billion dollars more than the cost of taking it.[1] I think their general conclusions are probably correct but, using the same data but slightly different methodology, I have concluded that if the fleets were reduced by as much as two-thirds the global catch in a few years would be substantially more than now and the net profit might be 100-billion dollars or more.

My son, Tim, who read an early draft of the notes for this talk advised that I should speak early on about fishes, which are interesting, then move on to boring economics and politics. So here goes!

As I’m sure most of you know there are two entirely different kinds of fishes: the cartilaginous ones – the sharks, dogfishes and rays, called elasmobranches – and the bony ones, called teleosts. The elasmobrabchs are vulnerable to us because they have very low reproductive rates and some of them bite and sting; I think all of them are marine.  Many of them are very tasty. The first marine fish thought to have become extinct as a result of over-fishing was the skate of the North Sea. Then recently some appeared again, so that’s all right? No it isn’t; it turns out that there are two very similar species, recognized as such a century ago, then lumped together, now separated again, and one of them really is nearly extinct.  The blue skate is one of the most delectable ones. It was a Portuguese friend – Dr Mario Ruivo – who first introduced me, in Paris, to raie au beurre  noir, we English just used to know it deep fried in batter!

So, taxonomy is still highly relevant to management. We had the same problem with respect to the baleen whales. What the whalers called sei whales turned out to be two species: the sei and the Bryde’s whale. Then it was discovered that what were thought to be small blue whales were in fact another, pygmy species. And most recently it has been discovered that there is not one, but three species or perhaps sub-species of minke whale – not surprising considering that the populations in the northern and southern hemispheres, and in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, have been physically separated for millions of years.

As for the teleosts, the group that I studied as a young zoologist: their life histories are very interesting.  Dr Alan Longhurst, a British biological oceanographer living in Canada and France, has noticed that many, perhaps most, marine teleosts are cannibals, feeding on their own young. They nearly all lay extremely large numbers of eggs, and the mortality of the larvae and juveniles is correspondingly high. Longhurst has suggested [2] this is done not so much to ensure survival of numbers (so accounting for the great annual variability of recruitment into many species, ranging from anchovies and sardines to cod and haddock) but to provide a food supply for the parents. The young feed on organisms that are much too small for the adults to eat and as they grow, moving on to bigger and bigger foods, they provide a steady nutritional stream for their parents. This life-style arises from the fact that in the sea there are no big plants, as on land (except for kelps in some coastal waters) and the small diatoms are eaten by small herbivorous animals, that are in turn eaten by slightly bigger carnivores, and they by even bigger predators.  Isn’t that neat?

Now let me return to my theme for the day. When I began my career in fisheries research and management the over-fished stocks were mostly ground fishes caught by bottom trawls. Small pelagic species such as herring and sardines were thought – even by most scientists – to be invulnerable because they were so numerous.  The herring had for centuries provided abundant food for the humans living near the North, Norwegian and Baltic Seas. Annual catches fluctuated and this phenomenon occupied the attention of scientists, especially in Norway, who thought it would be useful to be able to predict catches from one year to the next. There were no signs of long-term decline. But in a short presentation to the United Nations Scientific Conference on the Conservation and Utilisation of Resources (UNSCUR), convened in New York in 1949, Michael Graham had warned:

“The World does not stand still while scientists put their minds in order” [3]

Indeed! The Norwegian and Danish fishing industries were then already preparing their assault on young herring for the purpose of making fish oil and meal.  A few decades on and the herring was practically an endangered species. As to the value of predictions, long ago an American colleague – Dr Martin Burkenroad – stayed at my home in Rome. He had worked out a scheme whereby next year’s catch of shrimps – another resource with great recruitment variability – in the Gulf of Panama could be predicted. The only trouble was that the cost of making the prediction would be higher than the value of the catch! Furthermore, even if predictions were to be simpler, cheaper and better, it was unclear what real benefit the fishing industry or markets could gain from them.

My two older sons will never forget Martin Burkenroad. He lived in Panama and throughout his stay, in the Roman summer, he never took his overcoat or hat of in the house; he was cold. Martin died still believing that over-fishing is self correcting, because the fishermen give up when the catch rate falls too low; he was not convinced that increase in prices of scarce commodities would offset that.

[Diagram: catch value and cost against effort]

Robber Generations II

Until now most assessments of the states of fish stocks, on which management measures would be based, have been made by building a mathematical population model, estimating the values of its parameters and calculating sustainable catches as a function of either population size or, better, the fishing mortality (exploitation) rate. Even when allowance is made for data and structural uncertainties it has been shown – using simulations of the management process – that such a procedure usually leads to undesired depletion of the stocks; this important basic study was made by an Australian engineer, Dr William de la Mare, in the context of the management of whaling.[4] It led the scientists of the International Whaling Commission to spend years inventing, refining and testing a completely new approach. They had time because when the moratorium on commercial whaling was adopted in 1982 they had little else to do, having been released from the chore of calculating TACs of every whale population every year. Several teams of scientists tried to do this; there was a sort of competition, with rigorous ground rules, and it was won jointly by de la Mare, and Dr Justin Cooke (an English biologist living in Germany). The IWC’s Scientific Committee marginally preferred Cooke’s version of the so-called Catch Limit Algorithm (CLA) although Justin himself unusually said he preferred Bill’s.  Although accepted by the Commission’s decision-makers it has never been implemented because the IWC has not been able to agree on arrangements to ensure compliance with management rules, added to which is the growing inclination of many governments to oppose commercial whaling in principle. Both Justin and Bill have gone on to work on the application of their new approach more widely to fisheries problems, such as tuna and krill (the shrimp-like euphausid food of many of the whales), and others have also taken up the challenge.

The essence of the new approach is to find algorithms that are efficient in meeting specific criteria, regardless of whether a population model is good or bad, and to do this by modeling the management process and only the general features of the dynamics of the fish population. Thank goodness for computers that now make such modeling possible – along with climate change and the flow of ocean currents. Maximum Sustainable Yield, which few scientists believe in anyway, is not sought, nor is it attainable by this means. Instead the practicable objective is to obtain as high a cumulative yield (or average annual catch) over a prolonged but defined period, without in the attempt ever causing the fish population to be depleted accidentally below a defined threshold, with a defined probability.[5]

But I think the critical difference from the old way is that once an algorithm has been tested and adopted, its output in the form of proposed catch limits MUST be written into the regulations, and the process continued for many years. “Managers” – politicians and administrators and socio-economic bean counters – cannot interfere by purporting to negotiate with Nature. (The practice in the EU has for years been that the scientists offer a number that they think is safe and would be sustainable, the Commission suggests a bigger number to the Council of Ministers, who then approve an even higher number. No wonder so many European fisheries are in trouble! I and others have proposed to the European Union authorities that the IWC’s approach be followed for all fisheries in the on-going re-appraisal of Europe’s Common Fisheries Policy; references to my own contributions to this process are given in the footnote We shall see.[6]

That’s enough biology, now I’ll go back to my theme. When I worked in Unesco for a few years in the early 1970s a Maltese economist named Salvino Busuttil had a project to develop a draft UN Declaration or Charter on the Rights of Future Generations – of humans, that is; the as yet unborn. I worked with Salvino on that and we produced a draft Charter, but that fell by the wayside, mainly because our Third World colleagues said, understandably, that we had enough to do to ensure the rights of present generations. Professor Busuttil, now back in Malta and, like me, older and perhaps a bit wiser, has told me that his Fondation de Malte is launching a project for a UN Declaration of Human Duties, mirroring the Declaration of Human Rights of, with among such duties the requirement to care for future generations. I hope some of us live to see that happen, giving us a tool with, among other uses, the leverage to insist that we use living marine resources sustainably and take serious steps to conserve marine biodiversity and biological productivity.[7]

Now is the time for more quotations, four of them. Three of them are quotations about quotations, part of a potentially infinite regression; the fourth is about uncertainty, central to my theme:

“Life is made up of a series of judgments on insufficient data, and if we waited to run down all our doubts, it would flow past us.” That’s from US Supreme Court judge, Justice Learned Hand.

But now, let’s hear Michel De Montaigne:

“I quote others in order better to express myself”.

Then, Ira Gershwin:

Ev’ry corner that you turn you meet a notable with a statement that is eminently quotable.”

And, lastly, my favorite, by a writer named Robert Byrne, whom I have translated from American into English:

“Collecting quotations is an insidious, even embarrassing habit, like ragpicking or hoarding rocks or trying on other people’s laundry. I got into it originally while trying to break an addiction to sweets. I gave up sweets and now I seem to be stuck with quotations, which are attacking my brain instead of my teeth.

[1] World Bank (2009) The Sunken Billions: the economic justification for fisheries reform. 100pp. The World Bank and FAO, Washington DC and Rome, Italy. [The authors of this study were Rolf Willmann, Kieran Helleher and Ragnar Arnason. A digital pdf version is available as an ebook.]   Holt, S. J. (2009a). Sunken Billions – But how many? Fish. Res. 97: 3-10.  Holt, S. J. (2009b) The Evolution of the Objectives, Science and Procedures of Fisheries Management. Contribution to the 12th Conference of the North Atlantic Fisheries History Association (NAFHA) Norfolk, Virginia.

[2] Longhurst, A. (2008) The Sustainability Myth. Contribution to Western Groundfish meeting, 16pp. Santa Cruz, Ca , USA

[3] For more about those times see Holt, S. (2008) Three Lumps of Coal: Doing Fisheries Research in Lowestoft in the 1940s. A talk to CEFAS, 29 April 2008. 19pp. PDF available from CEFAS, Lowestoft, Suffolk, UK, or the author.

[4] de la Mare, W. K. (1986a) Simulation studies on management procedures.Rep. Int. Whal. Commn 36: 429-50.

[5] For more on this see: Holt, S. J. (2006) The Notion of Sustainability. Pp43-81 in Lavigne, D. M. (2006) Gaining Ground. IFAW, Yarmouth Port, MA, 425pp.

[6] Holt, S. J. (2007) New Policy Objectives and Management Procedures for EU Fisheries. A Commentary and Suggestions. 55pp. A briefing paper prepared for the European Policy Office of the WWF. Brussels 26 January 2007.  A similar paper, containing mathematical equations and graphs, is Holt, S. J. (Jan 2007) New Policy Objectives and Management Procedures for EU Fisheries. A Commentary and Suggestions to The Greens/European Free Alliance in  the European Parliament. Also, Holt, S, J, (Nov.2009) Brief to the Commission of the European Communities on the GREEN PAPER: Reform of the Common Fisheries Policy (Document  COM(2009)163 final, 22.4.2009)

[7] This idea is developed in Holt, S. J. (2008)  Greed Enthroned: Shall Future Generations eat Fish or Whales? A lecture at Gresham College, London, Wednesday, 19 November, 20pp. For “ALL AT SEA – A GRESHAM DAY ON SUSTAINABLE SEAS”.

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Followed by Dan Pauly:

Dan Pauly was more technical with a focus on topics I never heard before. I knew some about his work from some personal reading and obviously the groundbreaking documentary, “The End of the Line”.

Robber Generations II

However he shaded some more light on my perception of the current state of fisheries.  Now we have to go further and further south (i.e. into Africa) to get more fish since we have depleted most of the fish stock close to the developed countries boundaries, also with the water warming up, due to climate change, and its acidification, fish will tend to migrate to different areas of the world, and the whole world’s ecosystems as we know them will change.

He also spoke on the impact of artisanal fisheries that even that being better economically and feeding more people than commercial fisheries they do have an impact on the world’s fish stocks depletion.

It is now clear that we have to change our dietary habits related to the species of fish we eat, if we want to save them, and also if we want to in the future keep eating them. For this we have power as consumers to chose what we eat, also governments have to create more Marine Protected Areas and enforce them via monitoring and legal implementation.

It was a very impressive presentation.

Robber Generations II

After we had lunch at the university and soon after that I had to leave, to catch my bus home. Unfortunately I couldn’t go and check Ricardo’s didgeridoos and I wanted the day before, said goodbye to Sidney, Tim, Dan, Emidgio and Margarida, and headed to the bus station.

I do thank the University of the Algarve, and specially Margarida Castro, for being a great host and made possible for me to attend that 2 days lectures, and spend some time with the Holt’s.

To them my deepest sympathy and thanks.

Robber Generations I – The Case of Great Whales

My trip started at 0800 from Lisbon on a Bus drive to the Algarve where I arrived 1130, after overlooking some of the nice views that the Alentejo and the Algarve offer, just in time to meet Sidney and Tim Holt at Hotel Faro, very close to the bus station.

I was greeted by Sidney Tim and Margarida Castro, who invited me to come along and be present at Sidney’s and Dan Pauly’s lectures. She is a lovely lady, with a profound knowledge of the region and of many stories fisheries and aquaculture, very interesting woman!

It was really nice to see Sidney and Tim again after the International Whaling Commission (IWC) meeting in Maderia, last June.

We had lunch at a local café near the university, after checking the auditorium and a little of the campus, where I also met Adelino, Margarida’s boss, Janita (an expert on ictiology), and some others.

After lunch, we headed to the auditorium, where Sidney presented his speech.

Robber Generations I

I took some notes, so I could keep tabs and retain more of his words in my head! But then I asked Sidney’s own notes, transcribed below.

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Notes for a talk at the University of Algarve, Portugal, 28 January 2010

Sidney Holt

Robber generations 1: Whaling

1. Thank you for the invitation.

2. You will know from the programme that I am to give two talks on successive days, perhaps to diverse audiences. Their themes are essentially the same and they are connected. I’ll try to make them comprehensible even to those unable to attend both talks. I’ll say now, however, that I shall not discuss an issue that is close to my own heart, and which is perhaps the only reason one can give for believing that whaling should be ended, permanently – that is the extreme cruelty involved in it.

3. The theme is that the Industrial Revolution and the Capitalist economy have given living generations the power and the incentive to deprive future generations of access to non-renewable and renewable resources, and to saddle them with enormous debts. Nothing new in that. But in limiting my talks to my own experience – today with respect to whales and whaling, and tomorrow with respect to fish and fisheries – I hope I might find some things to say which, if not brand new or original, are new to at least some of you. In being so selective with respect to time and subjects I am aware, of course, that throughout what we call civilization, present generations have robbed the future. Greeks, Romans, Tudor monarchs all  destroyed forests to build ships for war and trade, polluted and diverted freshwaters, put mercury and lead into the environment. But not only is the scale of our destruction many orders of magnitude greater, it is more diverse, might be irreversible and we engage in it increasingly for fun.

4. For fun? Consider the response of our economic wizards to the current global crisis: “Please go out and buy things, even if you don’t need them or even really want them. That will get the economy going again and might even lead to some of the new unemployed getting jobs. Eat more, then buy an exercise machine to get rid of your excess weight’’. When I was growing up as a child in London my parents sometimes bought a chicken for dinner. Actually once a year, at Christmas. Now millions of people expect to be able to eat chicken practically every day.

5. So, to whales and whaling. First, a few statistics. In the 1930s the catch of baleen whales, by weight, in the Antarctic was about 15% of the global marine catch, and considerably more than that by value. In the forty years from 1931/32 to 1971/72 the total catch was more than 50 million tonnes. Catcher boats worked for more that 500,000 days for this, that is each took about 100 tonnes per day. Among these were 200,000 blue whales (nearly all killed before 1961/72), 300,000 fin whales and 100,000 sei whales (mostly killed in the ten seasons from 1961/62. ) I don’t have a comparable figure for the number of humpback whales killed in the Antarctic but many of them, from the same populations, were killed in the Southern Gemisphere outside the Antarctic, especially from land stations in Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and Chile.

6. Very few people NEED to eat whales. Industrial whaling for whalebone (baleen) whale species  (I’ll put aside the sperm whales for later if there is time), beginning in the mid-nineteenth century, were caught, at first mainly by Norwegians, to make money – very large amounts of it. The precious oil was mostly exported, and it was used for lighting and for making toiletries. Before World War 1 and during it, it was used to make glycerine as a raw material for explosives. Then German chemists devised a way to turn it into a substitute for butter, and that market kept baleen whaling going, especially in the Antarctic, throughout the inter-war period. Although Norwegian and British companies were the main beneficiaries of this development, Germany and Japan joined up in the mid-1940s. German interest was in the Nazi slogan “Guns, not butter”. Japan’s interest was more subtle: its factory ships brought whale oil to Rotterdam, where it was traded for convertible currency (and was transferred to Germany); the empty factory-tankers traveled to California where they picked up American fuel oil for their military machine, and took it back across the Pacific – an annual circumnavigation worthy of Ferdinand Magellan.

7. After World War II the American occupiers of defeated Japan decided that the starving Japanese people really did need to eat whales, and General McArthur personally authorised ships newly converted to whaling factories to go whaling in the Antarctic. At first this was said to be an emergency measure, for one year only, or perhaps two. That was a lie – the Japanese fleet was steadily increased until it eventually – in 1987 – came to monopolise whaling in the southern hemisphere. Monopoly is important because the technology (as well as the human skills) concerned with hunting, killing and processing whales is of a high order; not quite rocket science or atom-bashing but in some respects not far from those, more like building aircraft. Meanwhile British power in occupied Germany ensured that German companies did not go whaling, as they wished; the result was that the Germans practically ran the notorious “pirate whaling” expedition of 1950-1956, the Olympic Challenger, owned by Aristotle Onassis. The factory ship was registered in Panama and the accompanying catcher boats in Honduras; the company office was in Hamburg. Let me read you the commentary on that episode provided by the organizers of the eighth Cologne Whaling Meeting, held in November 2009:

Robber Generations I

What unfolded then, was a dramatic, international and very dirty action story, involving US secret agents, Norwegian and German transport trade unions, the German Federal Fisheries Research Institute, the Norwegian Whaling Association, the Peruvian navy, Lloyds of London, the Erste Deutsche Walfang Gesellschaft in Hamburg, bribery, treason, court action in Hamburg and Rotterdam, mutual confiscation of ships and whale oil cargoes, plus the diplomatic efforts of at least half a dozen maritime nations in Europe and the Americas. This was too much even for an unscrupulous business hardliner like Onassis. He sold his whaling fleet to Japan in 1956. At the end of negotiations with the Norwegian Whaling Association about the damages which the Norwegian industry had sustained through his fleet’s infractions of international whaling regulations, he conceded to the Norwegian side to keep their face and to release a faked message that he, Onassis, admitted the damage done by Olympic Challenger. Little concerned about his own reputation, ruined as it was anyway, he even let them spread the word that he paid a penalty of 3 million dollars intended to build the House of Whaling (hvalfangstens hus) next to the harbour of Sandefjord. With Onassis’s known sangfroid and toughness, however, it is more than likely that the Norwegian whaler owners in fact were forced to spent this money out of their own pockets.” [1]

The factory ship’s name was changed to Kyokuyo Maru 2 and it whaled under tha Japanese flag for another seventeen years.

8. Those engaged in what is known as pelagic whaling were conducting what was really a mining operation. In the 1930s, and again in the mid-1940s to 1960s, a notional limit was set to the total numbers of four or five species of baleen whales that could be killed in the Antarctic – the so-called Blue Whale Unit (BWU) in which the different species were graded in terms of their relative oil yields. But this limit never had a scientific basis, and was created mainly to limit production of oil in order to stabilise prices. In the later years, as whales diminished and competition for the survivors intensified, the BWU provided the basis for agreements among the whaling nations – UK, Norway, USSR and Japan – for shares of the what in fisheries jargon is now called the Total Allowable Catch (TAC).  The Netherlands was a fifth Antarctic pelagic operator, a newcomer, but, with a long tradition of whaling in the North Atlantic, and for several years a thorn in the side of the other whalers, especially the Europeans.[2] Through this period the British and Norwegians were mainly responsible for the near extinction of the blue and humpback whales and the depletion of the fin whales. Japan and the USSR added their help later, when killing relatively small numbers had a disproportionately big effect on the outcome – mainly in the 1960s. However, Japan  in the 1960s saw another opportunity and, with help from the USSR, depleted the populations of the smaller sei whale. Another smallish species – the Bryde’s whale, which lives in warmer waters – was depleted by the Japanese in the Pacific and by various pirate whalers serving Japan’s meat market, in the Atlantic. (By the device of declaring the Indian Ocean as a whale sanctuary both were prevented from doing the same in the Indian Ocean.)

9. In 1970, Japan and the USSR began the mining of the smallest baleen whale in the southern hemisphere, the minke; Brazil was allowed a few crumbs from their table (Norway continues to kill large numbers of a closely related species in the Northeast Atlantic). The declaration in 1982 of a moratorium on commercial whaling, of indefinite duration, coming into effect in 1986, put an end to the USSR’s effort (which had been conducted only to yield convertible currency by sale to the Japanese market). But Japan, having attained its monopoly aim – which had been perceived by the Norwegians as early as 1938 – was determined to continue, and has since then used a loophole in the International Convention for the Regulation of Whaling, 1946, which allows any nation unilaterally to award its nationals Special Permits to kill unlimited numbers of any species of whale, anywhere, provided it is declared to be “for scientific purposes”.  Under that provision Japanese whalers have killed increasing numbers of minke whales every year, especially in the Antarctic but also more recently in the North Pacific. Now they are being given permits also to kill fin and humpback whales.

10. The “scientific whaling operations’’ make profits, or at least break even, by large government subsidies barely disguised as support for scientific research. The rest of the income comes from the sale of frozen whale meat, which is – luckily for the industry – a practical requirement of the ICRW loophole. Meanwhile the Government subsidises continuing efforts to increase meat sales in Japan in support of increasing catches, though this is proving to be more difficult than the industry expected.  The Government of Japan has also, for a decade or so, taken steps to try to ensure that the IWC takes no other conservation-oriented steps that would require a three-fourths majority vote for their enactment. Through Japan’s  “vote consolidation programme”, fuelled mainly by the overseas aid budget, enough new countries have been brought into the IWC to provide a blocking one-fourth vote.[3] That game was so successful that the whaling lobby was encouraged to try for a simple majority, and nearly succeeded a few years ago. The intention was to overturn various decisions and initiatives by non-whaling nations, such as establishing a standing Committee on Conservation, establishing more “sanctuaries” for whales in which commercial whaling is not permitted,[4] adopting resolutions calling for cessation or limitation of scientific whaling, and promoting whale-watching as a way of using whale resources benignly.

11. A profitable and sustainable industry could perhaps be feasible on a fairly small scale when the depleted baleen whale populations have largely recovered – some, especially the humpback and possibly the blue whales, are known to be increasing and presumably so are the fin whales, which were long the backbone of the Antarcic industry and, originally numbering more than half-a-million animals, were not reduced so close to extinction as the other large species.  But recovery to at least, say, half their original numbers, will take many decades, and the whalers are impatient, so are seeking excuses for resuming large-scale whaling before recovery has progressed much further. The gimmick being used to that end is a plausible claim – totally unsubstantiated by research – that whales are eating so many fish of interest to humans, that they must be “culled”. A related claim is that minke whales have long been benefiting from krill over-abundance arising from the reduction in the numbers of the bigger species, and so have vastly increased in number, so are impeding the recovery of the blue whale – which has a similar diet – so they must be culled first. These gambits are the jemmies with which to escape from the globally accepted twin imperatives of sustainable use of wild living resources and the precautionary principle.

12. Meanwhile the IWC’s Scientific Committee has devised a much improved management procedure for calculating safe catch limits – an activity in which the three still-whaling countries – Japan, Norway and Iceland – played practically no part. This was accepted by the Commission itself but not implemented, pending agreement on water-tight arrangements to ensure compliance with regulations. As yet there has been no agreement on such arrangements, despite ten years of effort, and the Commission has put the entire negotiation on a back-burner.

13. Meanwhile, the one factory ship, the Nisshin Maru  is getting old and distinctly unreliable. It is also too small for large-scale processing of the larger whale species and does not have the processing equipment for the production of the variety of by-products that often make the difference between profit and loss. Discussions are rumoured to be on-going concerning investment in a larger and better replacement. If that goes ahead there would seem to be little practical impediment to Japan expanding and continuing Antarctic and North Pacific whaling for several more decades. Or a pure business decision might be taken to end it, encouraged by growing reluctance of the state to continue and expand the current level of subsidy. In that case we should expect to hear that the decision has been made for reasons of compliance with international wishes and broad public sentiment. Some kind of quid pro quo will surely be demanded; the most likely one is agreement for the continuation of small-scale minke whaling in the Northwest Pacific.

14. I promised to say something about the sperm whale, the Moby Dick whale. That is better news.This species is by far the largest of the toothed whales and is a very special animal. For one thing it has the largest brain of any species ever on the planet, and not just because its body is big. The sperm whale can dive deeper than any other marine mammal, possibly matched only by the smaller but formidablebottlenose whalesThere is, as far as we know, just one species, with a global distribution from the tropics to the polar regions. It has a remarkable communication and sensing system, using its head as a sound producer and collector. Each individual announces its own, individual name. It contains a unique kind of oil, which was why American whalers, especially hunted it throughout the 19th century. The oil also has special properties as a lubricant that led to it becoming a strategic asset through the 20th Century, especially to the USA and the USSR. American supplies came mostly from land station operations under other flags, world-wide. The Soviet pelagic fleets caught them especially in the Southern Hemisphere. Vegetable and synthetic alternatives were also found for sperm oil. The social structure of the species – males are much bigger than females and the dominant individuals keep “harems” – make it very difficult to devise safe ways of managing sperm whaling. Although they remained more numerous than all the baleen whales except the minke, even after two centuries of intense exploitation, the species was protected, in 1981, by a special moratorium, to which there no standing objections nor plans to continue killing them in the name of science. Towards the end the most valuable product from sperm whales was ivory from its teeth; the carved teeth are famous as scrimshaw International trade in the ivory and the oil is banned. A few are still killed by native islanders in Indonesia, who eat the meat – but as they are high-level predators their flesh is contaminated with persistent pollutants.

15. Tomorrow I’ll say more about the IWC’s Revised Management Procedure, as a model for improved fisheries management. But I’ll now close with two quotations. The first is from Jacques-Yves Cousteau:

Future wars will be between those who defend nature & those who destroy it.

The other, less aggressive, but still firm, is from  Franklin D..Roosevelt’s second inaugural address, in 1937:

“We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals; we know now that it is bad economics.”

I that true or not true? Thank you, see you tomorrow.

[1] “The Arts and Crafts of Olympic Challenger. Souvenirs, company gifts, and whaler folk art from the Onassis whaling venture, 1950-1956” Notes for the special exhibition, by Klaus Barthelmess, November 2009. This document contains a bibliography of German engagement in the whaling industry, mostly papers by Barthelmess.

[2] Just as the Japanese people were short of protein in 1946 the Dutch were short of fats and oils, and had no funds to import adequate supplies. They were at odds with the Norwegians, who prohibited their nationals – especially highly skilled gunners – from working on foreign whaling ships. Unlike the other Europeans and the Japanese, the Dutch pelagic whalers were operated by a state-owned company. Having only one factory it was difficult for the company to subsist when Antarctic catch limits began to be reduced sharply in the late 1960s; other European nations simply reduced the numbers of their factories.

[3] “Japan’s ‘vote consolidation operation’ in the International Whaling Commission” Third Millennium Foundation, Paciano (PG), Italy, August 2007, 96pp.

[4] The Indian Ocean was declared a sanctuary in 1979, and the entire Southern Ocean in 1994. These were initiatives of Seychelles and france, respectively. Latin American states and South Africa want the South Atlantic to be a sanctuary, while Australia and New Zealand, among others, have sought to make arrangements for protecting whales in the South Pacific.

After his lecture we headed back to the Hotel where I took that free time to write some of my notes and talked with my new IFAW’s boss Paul Todd in relation to a one month project what I’ll conduct in February. It was nice and I’m looking forward to it.

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Margarida then came to take us out to dinner (in a very nice part of the old town), and when we met in the hall, 1900, there was some other people to meet, Emidgio Cadima (a Portuguese expert on Fisheries) and Daniel Pauly (an internationally renowned fisheries expert), both to be given a “Honoris Causa” Doctorate by the University of the Algarve. Also amoung the people going out to have dinner with us was a Sidney’s old friend and very important Portuguese figure, Mário Ruivo.

Dinner was excellent and I was delighted to be among all those extraordinary figures, Adelino, Karim (Margarida’s husband and also a lecturer at the university), a man I cannot recall the name, but who was from dorset and eaching the MSc students at the university and another couple people I missed the name (as usual!).
I was thrilled!

Robber Generations I

Robber Generations I

Robber Generations I

After that I had the chance to meet an old friend. Susana, his girlfriend is a MSc student at the University of the Algarve, and recognized me between the audience. It was very pleasant to meet her and then latter at night Ricardo “Freaky” “Exodon” Branco, a didgeridoo player that went to study in the same university and I in Wales, University of Glamorgan.
We had a couple of drinks and tomorrow I’m expected to meet him at lunch time to see his new didgeridoo project, quite excited about it!

Time to bed, tomorrow early, and full day!

On the road to the Algarve

Tomorrow I’m heading to the Algarve to attend 2 days of speeches by imminent scientists, one of them being my friend Sidney Holt, and the other Dan Pauly, a well-known scientist on fisheries management and advocate of Marine Protected Areas (MPA).

I’ll stay with Sidney’s son, Tim Holt, also a good buddy, very kind for letting me share his room. Will take the bus from Lisbon at 0815 to arrive at 1130, and hopefully have lunch with the Holt’s.

Working Team

Sidney has his first speech at 1400, with the title, Robber Generations 1 – The case of Great Whales.

Then on the 29th (Thrusday), Sidney will give a speech entitled Robber Generations 2 – The Case of Marine Fishes, at 1000. Following Dan Pauly will present the title Impact of global fisheries and global warming on marine ecosystems at 1100.

The event is hosted by the University of the Algarve.

More info here

Palestras por cientistas eminentes – Lectures by eminent scientists at the University of Algarve

CCMAR

Exmos(as) Senhores(as),

Venho convidá-los para as palestras proferidas pelos professores Sidney Holt
e Daniel Pauly nos dias 28 e 29 de Janeiro no Campus de Gambelas da Universidade do Algarve. Os professores Holt e Pauly são os investigadores que maior influência tiveram na gestão mundial dos recursos marinhos nos últimos 50 anos. As palestras são de entrada livre.

I invite you to the lectures by professors Sidney Holt and Daniel Pauly on January 28th and 29th at Campus de Gambelas, University of Algarve. Professors Holt and Pauly are two of the most influential scientists in the management of the world living marine resources in the last 50 years. Entrance is open to all.

Adelino Canário
Director of CCMAR

Programa / Program

CV – Sidney J. Holt
CV – Daniel Pauly

CCMAR – Centro de Ciências do Mar
Universidade do AlgarveCampus de Gambelas
Edifício 7 – Gabinete 2.87
8005 – 139 FARO
http://ccmar.ualg.pt